Forecasting

FY26 plan · base grows 3% · media from the fitted response curves

FY26 forecast (base)

$70.2M

+3.3% vs FY25 $67.9M

Media-driven revenue

$25.9M

on $15.0M of media

Media ROAS

1.73x

average, base plan

Next $1 returns

0.79x

marginal ROAS at the base budget

FY26 revenue by month

Three budget scenarios, with an 80% interval around the base plan.

ConservativeBaseAggressive80% intervalFY25 actual

Budget vs revenue

FY26 revenue at any media budget. Each step up buys less.

Try a budget$15.0M

FY26 revenue

$70.2M

Next $1 returns

0.79x

Scenario comparison

FY26 plan options side by side.

ScenarioMedia budgetFY26 revenuevs FY25Media ROASNext $1 returns
ConservativeCut media 20%$12.0M$67.6M-0.5%1.94x0.95x
BaseHold FY25 budget$15.0M$70.2M+3.3%1.73x0.79x
AggressiveGrow media 30%$19.5M$73.4M+8.0%1.49x0.62x